The definitive guide

The
Prediction
Markets.

Two platforms. One mission. Understand the leading prediction markets shaping how the world forecasts the future.

Compare platforms How it works
Top market · Live odds comparison
Fed rate cut at March 2026 meeting?
Highest active volume · $23.6M open interest · Resolves Mar 17
Polymarket $6.3M vol
2%
Yes (cut)
98%
No cut
Kalshi $17.3M open int.
2%
Cut 25bps
98%
Hold
Both platforms in strong agreement · Last updated Mar 7, 2026
2026 NCAA Tournament Winner
March Madness · $78.8K volume · Selection Sunday Mar 15
Polymarket Top pick: Michigan
Michigan 50%
Duke 14%
Arizona 9%
UConn 7%
Kalshi Top pick: Michigan
Michigan 35%
Duke 18%
Arizona 12%
Florida 8%
Platforms diverge on Michigan · 15pp spread · Mar 7, 2026
Oscars 2026: Best Picture Winner
98th Academy Awards · $25.4M volume · Resolves Mar 15
Polymarket $25.4M vol
One Battle After Another 74%
Sinners 21%
Hamnet 3%
Other 2%
Kalshi Oscars market
One Battle After Another 71%
Sinners 22%
Hamnet 4%
Other 3%
Platforms in close agreement · 3pp spread on favourite · Mar 7, 2026
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Two platforms.
One arena.

Polymarket and Kalshi represent the two faces of prediction markets — crypto-native and regulated. Here's how they stack up.

Polymarket

The crypto-native prediction market

$1B+ All-time volume
USDC Settlement currency
Global Availability
  • Decentralized, blockchain-based
  • No KYC required
  • USDC / crypto settlement
  • High liquidity on major events
  • Open to most countries
  • Community-driven market creation
Visit Polymarket →
VS
Kalshi

The CFTC-regulated event exchange

$500M+ All-time volume
USD Settlement currency
US-only Availability
  • CFTC-regulated exchange
  • KYC / identity verification
  • USD cash settlement
  • Legally compliant in the US
  • Institutional-grade infrastructure
  • API for professional traders
Visit Kalshi →
$48M
Total volume traded
12K+
Active traders
3,200
Markets resolved
94%
Calibration accuracy
01

Built for clarity,
not complexity.

Real-money markets

Trade with actual stakes. Skin in the game produces the most honest forecasts. Real incentives drive real accuracy.

Instant liquidity

Automated market makers ensure you can enter or exit any position at any time without waiting for a counterpart.

Transparent resolution

Every market resolves against publicly verifiable sources. No ambiguity. No disputes. Just outcomes and payouts.

Portfolio analytics

Track your calibration score, P&L, and accuracy over time. Know where your edge is — and where it isn't.

Market creation

Propose any question. Our community votes on markets to list, ensuring only high-signal, verifiable events get traded.

API access

Integrate Foresight data into your own models, dashboards, or research workflows via our clean REST API.

02

How it works.

01

Browse markets

Find questions on politics, economics, science, tech, and more — updated in real time.

02

Take a position

Buy YES or NO shares at the current market probability. Each share pays $1 if correct.

03

Watch it unfold

As new information arrives, prices shift. Trade in and out to lock in gains or cut losses.

04

Collect your payout

When the market resolves, winning shares pay out instantly. Withdraw anytime.

Your forecast is
worth something.

Join thousands of traders turning informed opinions into real returns. Markets open now.

Create free account